Mainstream economists, not to mention most financial journalists, claim that deflation is as bad or worse than inflation. The ...

We are living through a rare moment in which two powerful forces are pulling prices in opposite directions. Markets must grapple with both the immediate threat of higher inflation from geopolitical ...

Recession is a dirty word in the business world, and it’s being tossed around again. While the U.S. is not in recession, concerns of one occurring later this year or next year are being fueled by the ...

A recession is coming — not the manicured kind economists dress up in euphemism, but a real one, the kind that redefines the word retroactively. Niall Ferguson has been mapping the terrain: ...

A bulletproof U.S. economy has shot past a series of shocks since the 2020 pandemic and grown for five straight years, but soaring oil prices tied to the Iran war have emerged as a potential trigger ...

Diccon Hyatt is an experienced financial and economics reporter. He's written hundreds of articles breaking down complex financial topics in plain language, emphasizing the impact that economic ...

Moody's Mark Zandi sees a nearly 50% risk of a recession. High oil prices pose a wide range of problems for consumers. The S&P 500 has recovered from every setback it's faced. It's been nearly a month ...

Moody's AI recession model shows 49% odds of a recession, just shy of the 50% threshold that has preceded every recession in 80 years of backtested data. Even more worrying, the February data behind ...

As rising prices at the gas pump hit consumers’ wallets, Americans already hunting for cheaper fuel may soon confront a bigger challenge: preparing for a potential recession. Oil price surges ...

One economic indicator suggests pain is coming for the US: the Walmart Recession Signal. The measure looks at Walmart's stock price relative to a basket of luxury stocks. A sharp increase in the WRS ...

The US economy is under strain, and the oil price shock could tip it over into recession. “People are preparing themselves for the fact that we are already in a recession now or that there is a high ...