Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn ...

Stochastic volatility is the unpredictable nature of asset price volatility over time. It's a flexible alternative to the Black Scholes' constant volatility assumption.

Abstract: With its inherent causal reasoning and superior capacity for handling uncertainty, the belief rule base (BRB) has been widely applied in complex systems modeling. As a generalization of ...

Interest Rate Probability Distributions Implied by Derivatives Prices is a daily measure of the distribution of future short-term interest rates, calculated from prices of fixed-income derivatives ...

Abstract: Moments of continuous random variables admitting a probability density function are studied. We show that, under certain assumptions, the moments of a random variable can be characterized in ...

A Probability distribution is a function that represents the probability of occurrence of a random variable. Probability distributions are used in various hydrological studies, particularly in studies ...

Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more volatility than larger organizations, or newer businesses without a ...

Forecasting for any small business involves guesswork. You know your business and its past performance, but you may not be comfortable predicting the future. Using Excel is a great way to perform what ...