Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Bond investors are sticking with a popular wager that U.S. interest rates will fall further in 2026, keeping pressure on ...

Treasury yields were floating higher, but trading has remained strictly range bound since early December as traders seek a direction.

With the Fed potentially nearing the end of its rate-cutting cycle, 2026 is likely to bring continued steepening of the ...

Watch the yield curve, says Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at DoubleLine. (FRED) "My fear," said Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

Rising inflation expectations and concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence are shaping the U.S. bond market.

It was last week's surge in long-term Treasury yields -- the rate on the 30-year T-bond saw its biggest weekly jump since 1987, the 10-year saw it's largest since 2001 -- that was credited with ...