According to data from the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December is down to 44.4% now, from 66.9% a week ago. ・Schwab strategist Alex Coffey also noted that ...
In preparation for our course in March, please read through these ten pages of notes. The (optional) material below comes from a five-week course on "probability" which I teach at Kellogg. Please feel ...