Tariffs may shape inflation far differently than standard economic models predict, according to a new working paper from two San Francisco Fed researchers. Their findings suggest the impact of trade ...

Inflation still lies somewhat above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal after slowing significantly since its spring 2022 peak. Analysis shows that two labor market indicators—the ratios of job vacancies to ...

There’s any number of directions tariff rates could go—a small increase, a big increase, no increase—from here forward. And depending on that, there’s a lot of different directions that monetary ...

The details of such a plan are still unclear, but some economists say sending payments to consumers could be inflationary.

TIPS funds have on average returned 3.4% in 2025, making it one of the best-performing bond fund categories. Fears of economic slowdown have lifted bond prices. Inflation expectations have risen in ...

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments Wednesday appeared to heighten financial experts’ fears that tariffs on goods imported to the U.S. could bring about an economic condition known as ...

Many Americans fretted about inflation as they headed out to vote. But Donald J. Trump’s approach comes with risks of a renewed boost. By Jeanna Smialek Jeanna Smialek covers the Federal Reserve and U ...