Tariffs may shape inflation far differently than standard economic models predict, according to a new working paper from two San Francisco Fed researchers. Their findings suggest the impact of trade ...

"Instead, tariff shocks appear to act as aggregate demand shocks—moving inflation and unemployment in the same directions." ...

TIPS funds have on average returned 3.4% in 2025, making it one of the best-performing bond fund categories. Fears of economic slowdown have lifted bond prices. Inflation expectations have risen in ...

David A. Steinberg is an associate professor of international political economy at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. His research focuses on the politics of international ...

The details of such a plan are still unclear, but some economists say sending payments to consumers could be inflationary.

Wholesale inflation spiked in July, a possible sign that import tariffs are starting to be felt in the costs paid by businesses, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. The producer price index ...

Jerome Powell’s press conferences—sometimes market-moving events—have attracted less notice of late. With Donald Trump in the White House, the chair of the Federal Reserve faces competition for ...

Many Americans fretted about inflation as they headed out to vote. But Donald J. Trump’s approach comes with risks of a renewed boost. By Jeanna Smialek Jeanna Smialek covers the Federal Reserve and U ...